Horse racing suggestions: Newcastle, Warwick and Chelmsford, Friday eighth Nov
To paraphrase the old football adage, “it is a day of two halves”. Friday afternoon sees three attractive jumps cards at Warwick, Hexham and Fontwell, while the evening session consists of three All Weather Flat
fixtures as they race underneath the floodlights at Newcastle, Dundalk and Chelmsford.
Cavsa Nostra: a chance you’ll find a way to’t refuse?
Wiltshire-based trainer Neil Mulholland has made an excellent begin to the autumn jumps campaign, and with a 25% total chase strike-rate at this venue, his latest novices’ handicap chase winner La Cavsa Nostra (Warwick 2:55) seems value a wager on this handicap chase over nearly three-and-a-quarter-miles.
No great shakes in three runs final term, Mulholland’s gelding seemed a completely completely different proposition on his seasonal debut at Chepstow just 10 days in the past where he jumped nicely in the main and ran out a straightforward six-length winner from the favorite, Christmas In April.
Despite having to shoulder a 7lb penalty, 13/8 shot La Cavsa Nostra looks very much on the right facet of the handicapper, and with top newbie Sam Waley-Cohen – who memorably gained two ‘King George’s’ and a Cheltenham Gold Cup on Long Run – remarkably nonetheless capable of declare a useful 3lbs, he seems to have every likelihood of making it 2-2 this season.
With her horses starting to click into gear now, Venetia Williams’ Nesterenko might show the most important danger to the choice.
Milagre De Vida to make profitable debut
It may be chancy supporting any horse on its racecourse debut, however given the opposition in a modest six-furlong fillies novice stakes, Karl Burke’s Milagre Da Vida (Newcastle 5:35) may nicely be as a lot as successful at the very first time of asking.
Owned by John Dance, whose lately retired a number of Group 1-winning filly Laurens has been a steady normal bearer during the last three seasons, the daughter of Bated Breath doesn’t need to be a world beater to make her presence felt on this six-runner affair.
Clearly she has taken time to reach the racecourse as we transfer toward the tip of her three-year-old season, however connections’ endurance might be about to pay off. Her dam, Eucharist, was a four-time winner, so Milagre Da Vida can continue the household custom.
The James Fanshawe-trained Royal Dynasty shaped properly when fourth on her latest seasonal return after thirteen months on the sidelines, however is just rated 67, so at 13/8 with Paddy Power, the choice won’t should be a celebrity to get the higher of the argument under the superb PJ McDonald.
Dance can show them a clear pair of heels
There are loads of prime yards represented in what would possibly prove an informative two-year-old maiden fillies occasion at Chelmsford this evening with the likes of John Gosden, Roger Charlton, William Haggas, Richard Fahey and Mark Johnston, among those fielding runners.
David Simcock is another fine coach whose horses are in good form in the meanwhile and working at a 28% profitable strike-rate in the final fortnight. Therefore, it would not be a shock to see his Folk Dance (Chelmsford 5:55) construct on a promising debut effort and hit the target within the second race of the evening on the Essex monitor.
By the excellent Golden Horn, out of a dam who gained at Grade 1 level in Canada, Folk Dance made her racecourse debut practically six weeks in the past at Newmarket and ran an eye-catching race to finish sixth of the fifteen runners, overwhelmed simply fourth lengths within the contest gained by Lady Lynetta.
Jamie Spencer, on board again this evening, very sensibly did not knock his mount about within the closing levels when it was clear she was getting drained on her first competitive outing, so she should have learned a lot from that first optimistic experience.
There are quite a few potential dangers with numerous runners from different big yards making their respective racecourse debuts, however Folk Dance could also be fair value at 7/4 and is backed to go nicely.
Verdict: At Warwick, La Cavsa Nostra is expected to observe up his current Chepstow triumph, Folk Dance can construct on her promising debut to win at Chelmsford, and debutante Milagra Da Vida is fancied to make a successful start to her career at Newcastle.